Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Recreativo Huelva beat Almería with a 24.2% chance and Mallorca beat Barcelona with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 8 (before the first match) against those on May 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 26.4% | 71.5% | +45.1 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 35.1% | 6.7% | −28.4 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 35.4% | 16.6% | −18.8 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 14.1% | 29.7% | +15.7 |
| Racing Santander | Europa League | 82.5% | 70.3% | −12.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 90.8% | >99.9% | +9.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 9.2% | <0.1% | −9.2 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 90.9% | >99.9% | +9.1 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 8.3% | <0.1% | −8.3 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 3.4% | 0% | −3.3 |
