Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Getafe with a 18.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 23 (before the first match) against those on January 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 31.8% | 15.9% | −15.9 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 59.7% | 43.9% | −15.8 |
| Real Murcia | Relegation | 30.5% | 17.7% | −12.8 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 53.0% | 65.1% | +12.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 31.2% | 41.0% | +9.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 50.1% | 59.1% | +9.0 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 24.3% | 32.6% | +8.3 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 23.5% | 31.6% | +8.1 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 24.6% | 30.8% | +6.2 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 14.2% | 8.1% | −6.1 |
