Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Atlético Madrid with a 21.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 16 (before the first match) against those on December 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 58.5% | 76.3% | +17.8 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 37.9% | 53.0% | +15.1 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 26.7% | 13.3% | −13.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 60.8% | 50.1% | −10.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 41.8% | 31.2% | −10.7 |
| Almería | Relegation | 19.9% | 29.0% | +9.1 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 18.4% | 11.8% | −6.6 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 8.2% | 13.4% | +5.2 |
| Racing Santander | Europa League | 26.2% | 21.3% | −4.9 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 64.2% | 59.7% | −4.5 |
