Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Sevilla with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 11 (before the first match) against those on November 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 23.5% | 14.4% | −9.1 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 44.1% | 36.1% | −8.1 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 23.6% | 31.3% | +7.8 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 67.9% | 75.2% | +7.2 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 15.1% | 22.1% | +7.0 |
| Levante | Relegation | 82.2% | 75.3% | −6.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 34.5% | 39.8% | +5.4 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 29.0% | 34.2% | +5.3 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 77.3% | 72.1% | −5.2 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 15.7% | 20.8% | +5.1 |
