Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 14 (before the first match) against those on January 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 24.2% | 16.8% | −7.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 71.9% | 78.3% | +6.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 37.7% | 43.1% | +5.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 60.4% | 65.8% | +5.3 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 9.9% | 5.1% | −4.8 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 24.9% | 20.5% | −4.4 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 15.1% | 19.1% | +4.1 |
| Osasuna | Europa League | 20.4% | 16.5% | −3.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 72.9% | 76.7% | +3.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 29.9% | 33.3% | +3.4 |