Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Sevilla with a 12.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 7 (before the first match) against those on January 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 35.4% | 20.5% | −14.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 26.7% | 37.7% | +10.9 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 34.3% | 24.2% | −10.1 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 91.5% | 82.7% | −8.7 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 33.0% | 24.9% | −8.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 9.2% | 16.5% | +7.2 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 21.3% | 28.5% | +7.2 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 53.6% | 60.4% | +6.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 66.5% | 72.9% | +6.4 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 49.3% | 43.0% | −6.2 |
