Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Getafe with a 21.5% chance and Recreativo Huelva beat Real Madrid with a 13.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 17 (before the first match) against those on December 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champion | 23.7% | 37.6% | +13.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 87.3% | 76.8% | −10.5 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 36.4% | 26.0% | −10.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 21.0% | 11.3% | −9.6 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 30.8% | 40.4% | +9.6 |
| Levante | Relegation | 33.2% | 39.8% | +6.5 |
| Real Madrid | Europa League | 9.2% | 15.3% | +6.0 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Europa League | 7.5% | 13.3% | +5.8 |
| Gimnàstic de Tarragona | Relegation | 86.0% | 91.5% | +5.5 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 17.9% | 12.5% | −5.3 |
