Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Sociedad beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 16.1% chance and Getafe beat Real Zaragoza with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 5 (before the first match) against those on March 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Champions League | 34.4% | 53.1% | +18.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 45.5% | 29.7% | −15.8 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 38.4% | 52.1% | +13.6 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 55.3% | 43.8% | −11.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 30.7% | 20.0% | −10.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 19.3% | 26.6% | +7.3 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 14.4% | 21.6% | +7.2 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 23.8% | 17.1% | −6.7 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 11.0% | 17.4% | +6.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 19.4% | 13.9% | −5.5 |
