Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo Alavés beat Athletic Club with a 14.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 6 (before the first match) against those on November 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 70.5% | 51.6% | −18.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 37.9% | 54.0% | +16.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 71.7% | 58.1% | −13.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 24.1% | 12.1% | −12.0 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 30.6% | 42.4% | +11.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 24.6% | 34.9% | +10.3 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 32.4% | 42.3% | +9.9 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 55.1% | 47.0% | −8.1 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 83.0% | 90.9% | +7.9 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 17.9% | 10.8% | −7.1 |
