Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sevilla beat Valencia with a 19.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 3 (before the first match) against those on October 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champion | 32.8% | 19.5% | −13.2 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 38.0% | 48.2% | +10.1 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 80.8% | 71.1% | −9.7 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 56.6% | 66.2% | +9.6 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 42.4% | 51.7% | +9.3 |
| Levante | Relegation | 15.7% | 7.2% | −8.4 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 21.5% | 15.1% | −6.3 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 10.6% | 14.8% | +4.2 |
| Levante | Champions League | 5.7% | 9.6% | +3.9 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 9.9% | 6.1% | −3.8 |
