Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Zaragoza beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 19.6% chance and Sevilla beat Real Madrid with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 19 (before the first match) against those on December 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | Relegation | 47.4% | 32.2% | −15.2 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 39.9% | 53.9% | +13.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 71.1% | 59.2% | −11.9 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 26.3% | 37.3% | +11.0 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 34.9% | 26.3% | −8.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 69.3% | 77.7% | +8.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 15.1% | 7.7% | −7.4 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 41.3% | 48.4% | +7.1 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 34.4% | 41.4% | +7.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 11.6% | 4.9% | −6.7 |
