Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Albacete beat Real Sociedad with a 19.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 5 (before the first match) against those on October 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | Relegation | 66.2% | 50.8% | −15.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 38.3% | 25.4% | −13.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 67.2% | 77.4% | +10.1 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 49.3% | 39.2% | −10.1 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 53.3% | 63.2% | +9.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 75.8% | 85.1% | +9.3 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 23.4% | 14.9% | −8.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Relegation | 25.1% | 18.5% | −6.5 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 12.5% | 19.0% | +6.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 13.9% | 7.7% | −6.2 |
