Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético Madrid beat Athletic Club with a 21.4% chance, Real Sociedad beat Real Madrid with a 19.3% chance, and Albacete beat Valencia with a 12.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 16 (before the first match) against those on May 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Europa League | 37.6% | 100% | +62.4 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 54.7% | 0% | −54.7 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 36.0% | 0% | −36.0 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 74.8% | 100% | +25.2 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 89.2% | 100% | +10.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 7.7% | 0% | −7.7 |
