Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Villarreal with a 13.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 25 (before the first match) against those on February 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | Relegation | 90.6% | 80.3% | −10.4 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 17.6% | 8.7% | −8.9 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 11.3% | 19.6% | +8.3 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 21.3% | 29.3% | +7.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 15.6% | 21.5% | +5.9 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 32.7% | 38.3% | +5.6 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 25.0% | 30.3% | +5.3 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 24.4% | 19.2% | −5.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 28.4% | 23.3% | −5.1 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 51.9% | 56.3% | +4.4 |
