Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Valencia with a 18.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 18 (before the first match) against those on January 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 44.0% | 58.8% | +14.8 |
| Valencia | Champion | 41.9% | 29.8% | −12.0 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 40.4% | 51.9% | +11.5 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 13.7% | 21.9% | +8.2 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 13.2% | 6.7% | −6.5 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 9.9% | 3.6% | −6.3 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 23.4% | 17.6% | −5.8 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 10.1% | 15.6% | +5.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 33.6% | 28.4% | −5.2 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 29.6% | 24.4% | −5.2 |
