Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Athletic Club with a 17.6% chance and Villarreal beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 13.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 23 (before the first match) against those on November 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 30.9% | 21.4% | −9.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 32.3% | 23.3% | −9.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 12.9% | 21.5% | +8.6 |
| Valencia | Champion | 20.6% | 29.2% | +8.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 84.5% | 76.6% | −7.9 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 71.7% | 78.8% | +7.1 |
| Albacete | Relegation | 66.4% | 59.6% | −6.8 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 73.9% | 80.7% | +6.7 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 21.0% | 26.4% | +5.4 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 10.4% | 5.4% | −5.0 |
