Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Villarreal with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 16 (before the first match) against those on February 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 26.0% | 10.5% | −15.5 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 31.6% | 18.3% | −13.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 67.6% | 76.9% | +9.3 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 46.1% | 55.2% | +9.1 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 38.5% | 45.5% | +7.0 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 82.9% | 89.8% | +6.9 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 9.6% | 15.9% | +6.4 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 37.8% | 44.1% | +6.3 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 14.3% | 9.1% | −5.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 84.8% | 90.1% | +5.3 |
