Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Deportivo Alavés with a 8.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 2 (before the first match) against those on October 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 56.4% | 26.1% | −30.3 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 22.2% | 46.5% | +24.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 44.8% | 66.3% | +21.5 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 24.9% | 7.9% | −17.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 12.3% | 28.3% | +16.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Relegation | 37.3% | 22.5% | −14.9 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 36.8% | 23.0% | −13.8 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 30.4% | 44.0% | +13.6 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 64.9% | 78.4% | +13.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Champion | 12.2% | 23.5% | +11.3 |
