Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 21.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 30 (before the first match) against those on September 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 52.5% | 34.1% | −18.4 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 32.0% | 45.5% | +13.5 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 27.9% | 36.8% | +8.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 15.8% | 7.1% | −8.7 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 19.5% | 11.2% | −8.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 46.9% | 55.0% | +8.1 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 58.1% | 65.5% | +7.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 37.5% | 44.8% | +7.3 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 42.0% | 34.8% | −7.2 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 21.9% | 15.2% | −6.7 |
