Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Tenerife beat Osasuna with a 16.8% chance, Málaga beat Villarreal with a 21.8% chance, and Real Valladolid beat Athletic Club with a 18.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 7 (before the first match) against those on October 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife | Relegation | 58.9% | 42.6% | −16.3 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 29.5% | 17.1% | −12.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 53.4% | 65.2% | +11.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 55.0% | 64.6% | +9.6 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 35.2% | 26.1% | −9.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 65.8% | 74.8% | +9.0 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 13.1% | 22.1% | +8.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 23.6% | 31.4% | +7.7 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 16.1% | 8.9% | −7.2 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 66.1% | 58.9% | −7.1 |
