Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Valencia with a 18.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 13 (before the first match) against those on January 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 43.8% | 58.0% | +14.2 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 51.6% | 39.3% | −12.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 46.1% | 57.6% | +11.5 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 80.1% | 70.2% | −9.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 51.2% | 60.9% | +9.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 52.2% | 42.8% | −9.4 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 31.4% | 39.2% | +7.8 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 18.5% | 11.8% | −6.6 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 31.1% | 24.6% | −6.6 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champion | 8.8% | 14.2% | +5.4 |
