Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletic Club beat Celta Vigo with a 18.5% chance and Tenerife beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 4 (before the first match) against those on November 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife | Relegation | 68.8% | 55.0% | −13.8 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 48.0% | 34.9% | −13.0 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 64.9% | 52.1% | −12.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 33.1% | 44.8% | +11.6 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 55.8% | 67.4% | +11.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 36.4% | 26.3% | −10.0 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 14.6% | 24.0% | +9.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 79.3% | 70.1% | −9.2 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 31.3% | 40.2% | +8.9 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 15.9% | 24.0% | +8.1 |
