Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Sociedad beat Espanyol with a 18.7% chance, Sevilla beat Málaga with a 18.3% chance, and Real Zaragoza beat Real Betis with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 28 (before the first match) against those on November 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife | Relegation | 58.1% | 68.8% | +10.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 43.7% | 33.1% | −10.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 25.8% | 36.4% | +10.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 58.2% | 48.0% | −10.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 29.4% | 39.2% | +9.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 69.8% | 79.3% | +9.5 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 36.2% | 26.9% | −9.3 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 64.7% | 55.8% | −8.9 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 56.6% | 64.9% | +8.3 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 14.3% | 22.5% | +8.3 |
