Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Las Palmas beat Athletic Club with a 16.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 18 (before the first match) against those on October 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 42.7% | 25.3% | −17.5 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 23.4% | 35.2% | +11.8 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Champions League | 31.6% | 42.6% | +11.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 59.2% | 48.2% | −11.0 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 48.1% | 59.0% | +10.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 36.0% | 25.2% | −10.8 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 41.1% | 30.4% | −10.7 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 26.4% | 16.6% | −9.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 20.4% | 29.0% | +8.7 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 29.7% | 36.6% | +6.9 |
