Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Sociedad beat Villarreal with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 6 (before the first match) against those on May 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 55.5% | 27.4% | −28.1 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 15.6% | 34.3% | +18.7 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 26.5% | 45.2% | +18.6 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 36.4% | 21.3% | −15.0 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 70.4% | 84.5% | +14.2 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 7.8% | 21.1% | +13.2 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 92.0% | 78.8% | −13.2 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 26.5% | 15.4% | −11.1 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 4.6% | 14.5% | +10.0 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 82.6% | 73.1% | −9.5 |
