Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, no draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 19 (before the first match) against those on January 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champions League | 28.2% | 75.6% | +47.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 14.8% | 58.6% | +43.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 30.9% | 74.5% | +43.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 54.6% | 97.4% | +42.8 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 40.4% | 3.5% | −36.9 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 37.4% | 69.7% | +32.3 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 30.5% | 4.3% | −26.2 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Champions League | 39.8% | 16.7% | −23.0 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 27.9% | 4.8% | −23.0 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 22.5% | 0.3% | −22.2 |
