Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 19 (before the first match) against those on March 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 56.9% | 35.3% | −21.6 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 62.2% | 81.7% | +19.5 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Europa League | 33.8% | 48.1% | +14.3 |
| Real Zaragoza | Europa League | 29.7% | 16.1% | −13.6 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 21.4% | 8.0% | −13.4 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 30.4% | 41.0% | +10.6 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 37.5% | 46.9% | +9.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 71.9% | 62.7% | −9.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Relegation | 52.1% | 61.0% | +8.9 |
| Real Madrid | Europa League | 23.0% | 30.8% | +7.8 |
