Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Mallorca with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 12 (before the first match) against those on March 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | Relegation | 21.4% | 34.9% | +13.5 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 17.7% | 30.4% | +12.6 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 23.6% | 11.9% | −11.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 56.8% | 45.5% | −11.3 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 47.2% | 36.5% | −10.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 79.9% | 90.1% | +10.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Relegation | 42.5% | 52.1% | +9.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 27.0% | 18.4% | −8.6 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 13.1% | 21.4% | +8.4 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 15.9% | 8.7% | −7.1 |
