Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 8 (before the first match) against those on December 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 44.1% | 58.3% | +14.3 |
| Sevilla | Relegation | 75.6% | 65.7% | −9.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 58.2% | 48.7% | −9.5 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 28.0% | 37.4% | +9.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 18.1% | 27.0% | +8.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 85.3% | 91.8% | +6.6 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 11.6% | 5.2% | −6.4 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 11.0% | 17.4% | +6.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Relegation | 22.1% | 28.0% | +5.9 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 13.5% | 7.6% | −5.9 |
