Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo Alavés beat Espanyol with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 22 (before the first match) against those on November 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 70.4% | 81.4% | +10.9 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 22.2% | 12.8% | −9.3 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 61.6% | 52.4% | −9.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 29.0% | 38.1% | +9.1 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 64.8% | 73.7% | +8.9 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 27.6% | 36.5% | +8.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Relegation | 23.6% | 31.0% | +7.4 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 18.2% | 11.2% | −7.0 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 44.4% | 37.6% | −6.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 25.5% | 19.4% | −6.1 |
