Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Málaga beat Barcelona with a 10.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 31 (before the first match) against those on November 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 42.1% | 26.7% | −15.4 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 47.7% | 33.5% | −14.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 43.8% | 55.1% | +11.3 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 82.5% | 71.4% | −11.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 28.0% | 17.8% | −10.3 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 53.2% | 62.6% | +9.4 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 25.0% | 34.1% | +9.1 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Champions League | 28.8% | 21.6% | −7.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 23.2% | 30.3% | +7.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champion | 14.0% | 20.8% | +6.7 |
