Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sevilla beat Racing Santander with a 21.7% chance, Compostela beat Real Zaragoza with a 24.3% chance, and Tenerife beat Atlético Madrid with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 16 (before the first match) against those on June 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation play-off | 54.7% | 100% | +45.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation play-off | 28.8% | 0% | −28.8 |
| Extremadura | Relegation | 86.5% | 100% | +13.5 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation play-off | 9.2% | 0% | −9.2 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 8.7% | 0% | −8.6 |
| Extremadura | Relegation play-off | 7.3% | 0% | −7.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 4.9% | 0% | −4.9 |
