La Liga 2025

Finished

Updated through 05/25/2025

Title race

100%

chance to win the title
100 pp ahead of Real Madrid

Favorites for Champions League

Highlights

round 38 complete

Barcelona

Barcelona was down to just 4.5% title chance in round 21 — and ended up champion.

38ª

Las Palmas

Las Palmas had a relegation risk of only 1.6% in round 19, and still went down.

38ª

Espanyol

Espanyol's relegation risk peaked at 58.0% in round 14, and they survived.

38ª

The table's percentages are recalculated after every result and may differ from this analysis, which reflects the moment stated above.

probability by zone

Statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

#	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Champion	Champions League	Europa League	Conference League	Relegation
1	Barcelona	88	38	28	4	6	102	39	+63	100%	100%	0%	0%	0%
2	Real Madrid	84	38	26	6	6	78	38	+40	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%
3	Atlético Madrid	76	38	22	10	6	68	30	+38	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%
4	Villarreal	70	38	20	10	8	71	51	+20	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%
5	Athletic Club	70	38	19	13	6	54	29	+25	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%
6	Real Betis	60	38	16	12	10	57	50	+7	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%
7	Celta Vigo	55	38	16	7	15	59	57	+2	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%
8	Rayo Vallecano	52	38	13	13	12	41	45	-4	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
9	Osasuna	52	38	12	16	10	48	52	-4	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
10	Mallorca	48	38	13	9	16	35	44	-9	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
11	Real Sociedad	46	38	13	7	18	35	46	-11	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
12	Valencia	46	38	11	13	14	44	54	-10	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
13	Getafe	42	38	11	9	18	34	39	-5	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
14	Espanyol	42	38	11	9	18	40	51	-11	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
15	Deportivo Alavés	42	38	10	12	16	38	48	-10	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
16	Girona	41	38	11	8	19	44	60	-16	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
17	Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	42	55	-13	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
18	Leganés	40	38	9	13	16	39	56	-17	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
19	Las Palmas	32	38	8	8	22	40	61	-21	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
20	Real Valladolid	16	38	4	4	30	26	90	-64	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%