Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Palmeiras with a 16.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 5 (before the first match) against those on December 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | Sudamericana | 94.7% | 0% | −94.7 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 14.0% | 100% | +86.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 33.5% | 100% | +66.5 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 44.9% | 0% | −44.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 71.2% | 100% | +28.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 21.4% | 0% | −21.4 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 16.1% | 0% | −16.1 |
| Bahia | Libertadores Second Round | 88.1% | 100% | +11.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 88.1% | 100% | +11.9 |
| Bahia | Sudamericana | 11.9% | 0% | −11.9 |
