Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Portuguesa with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 29 (before the first match) against those on July 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport | Relegation | 32.5% | 12.1% | −20.4 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 22.0% | 39.6% | +17.6 |
| Flamengo | Champion | 32.5% | 49.8% | +17.3 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 30.2% | 13.9% | −16.3 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 23.5% | 37.1% | +13.6 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 21.5% | 34.1% | +12.6 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 75.5% | 88.0% | +12.5 |
| Náutico | Libertadores | 20.8% | 8.5% | −12.3 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 6.4% | 17.9% | +11.5 |
| Náutico | Sudamericana | 44.8% | 34.2% | −10.7 |
