Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Figueirense with a 24.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 21 (before the first match) against those on August 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | Relegation | 57.0% | 43.4% | −13.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 21.5% | 32.2% | +10.7 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 36.7% | 26.3% | −10.3 |
| Vitória | Libertadores | 12.3% | 22.4% | +10.1 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 66.7% | 57.8% | −8.9 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 52.0% | 60.7% | +8.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 32.2% | 40.6% | +8.4 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 88.5% | 80.9% | −7.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 17.7% | 10.4% | −7.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 33.2% | 40.4% | +7.2 |
