Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sport beat Náutico with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 5 (before the first match) against those on July 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 22.2% | 44.9% | +22.7 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 30.6% | 12.9% | −17.7 |
| Vitória | Libertadores | 14.1% | 29.7% | +15.6 |
| Portuguesa | Sudamericana | 30.4% | 15.2% | −15.2 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 23.2% | 37.6% | +14.4 |
| Internacional | Relegation | 24.5% | 10.9% | −13.6 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 48.5% | 35.4% | −13.1 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 28.3% | 41.3% | +13.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 13.5% | 24.8% | +11.3 |
| Flamengo | Champion | 40.0% | 51.1% | +11.1 |
