Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Crystal Palace with a 20.6% chance, Wolverhampton beat West Ham with a 23.8% chance, and Watford beat Tottenham with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 27 (before the first match) against those on September 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | Champion | 27.5% | 16.1% | −11.4 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 41.4% | 30.1% | −11.3 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 73.7% | 63.2% | −10.4 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 23.0% | 14.2% | −8.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 59.3% | 67.8% | +8.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 33.3% | 41.2% | +7.9 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 33.7% | 41.0% | +7.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 59.6% | 66.1% | +6.5 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 20.5% | 14.6% | −5.9 |
| Bournemouth | Champions League | 13.9% | 8.3% | −5.7 |
