Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Leicester City with a 15.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 3 (before the first match) against those on January 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | Relegation | 31.3% | 18.7% | −12.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 31.4% | 19.6% | −11.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 15.7% | 25.5% | +9.8 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 62.6% | 71.7% | +9.1 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 45.7% | 51.8% | +6.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 64.0% | 70.1% | +6.0 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 9.6% | 4.4% | −5.1 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 34.1% | 29.0% | −5.1 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 18.8% | 13.9% | −4.9 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 9.2% | 13.9% | +4.7 |
