Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Huddersfield Town beat Wolverhampton with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 11 (before the first match) against those on November 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield Town | Relegation | 58.8% | 43.8% | −15.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 77.3% | 66.7% | −10.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 63.7% | 72.9% | +9.2 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 17.7% | 26.4% | +8.7 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 31.0% | 39.6% | +8.6 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 12.8% | 5.6% | −7.2 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 22.2% | 15.1% | −7.1 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 80.7% | 74.2% | −6.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 84.0% | 90.3% | +6.3 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 15.9% | 10.1% | −5.8 |
