Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Brighton & Hove Albion beat Manchester United with a 18.1% chance, West Ham beat Leicester City with a 21.4% chance, and West Bromwich Albion beat Tottenham with a 20.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 30 (before the first match) against those on May 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea City | Relegation | 24.5% | 42.0% | +17.6 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 93.5% | 76.0% | −17.4 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 6.6% | 24.0% | +17.4 |
| Huddersfield Town | Relegation | 27.7% | 11.6% | −16.0 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 98.3% | 88.5% | −9.8 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 1.7% | 11.5% | +9.8 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 92.3% | >99.9% | +7.7 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 4.9% | 12.5% | +7.6 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 95.1% | 87.5% | −7.6 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 5.7% | <0.1% | −5.7 |
