Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Watford beat Chelsea with a 23.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 31 (before the first match) against those on February 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 43.2% | 25.3% | −17.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 64.1% | 49.2% | −14.9 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 35.8% | 50.5% | +14.7 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 45.0% | 58.1% | +13.1 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 37.9% | 45.9% | +8.0 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 16.9% | 9.2% | −7.8 |
| Huddersfield Town | Relegation | 49.9% | 57.0% | +7.1 |
| Watford | Relegation | 6.9% | 1.7% | −5.3 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 58.0% | 63.0% | +5.0 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 41.5% | 36.6% | −4.9 |
