Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Swansea City beat Liverpool with a 15.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 15 (before the first match) against those on January 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea City | Relegation | 72.8% | 58.0% | −14.8 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 81.0% | 66.4% | −14.7 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 18.8% | 33.2% | +14.4 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 48.3% | 34.8% | −13.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 71.3% | 83.0% | +11.7 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 28.3% | 16.9% | −11.3 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 35.4% | 44.7% | +9.3 |
| Huddersfield Town | Relegation | 30.4% | 39.6% | +9.2 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 34.0% | 40.6% | +6.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 46.4% | 41.5% | −4.8 |
