Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Chelsea with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 3 (before the first match) against those on December 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield Town | Relegation | 42.5% | 29.3% | −13.2 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 25.8% | 38.6% | +12.8 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 19.3% | 30.1% | +10.8 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 59.5% | 48.7% | −10.8 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 81.2% | 91.4% | +10.1 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 35.6% | 25.5% | −10.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 75.4% | 65.5% | −9.9 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 37.5% | 45.3% | +7.8 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 20.5% | 28.0% | +7.4 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 13.3% | 6.0% | −7.3 |
