Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Burnley beat Southampton with a 17.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 30 (before the first match) against those on November 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 45.6% | 33.6% | −12.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 34.2% | 45.4% | +11.2 |
| Huddersfield Town | Relegation | 35.7% | 26.1% | −9.6 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 37.3% | 46.5% | +9.2 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 26.5% | 18.1% | −8.4 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 17.8% | 10.5% | −7.4 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 66.1% | 73.3% | +7.3 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 85.4% | 78.2% | −7.2 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 53.5% | 60.7% | +7.1 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 16.7% | 23.2% | +6.5 |
