Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Burnley beat Everton with a 22.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 17 (before the first match) against those on October 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 32.8% | 48.5% | +15.7 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 44.3% | 33.4% | −10.8 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 42.9% | 32.3% | −10.6 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 49.3% | 59.3% | +10.0 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 16.5% | 9.2% | −7.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 57.9% | 64.0% | +6.1 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 67.6% | 73.2% | +5.6 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 36.6% | 31.2% | −5.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 64.9% | 59.7% | −5.2 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 4.0% | 9.0% | +5.0 |
