Round 38

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Stoke City beat Southampton with a 23.8% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on May 18 (before the first match) against those on May 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
ArsenalEuropa League84.4%100%+15.6
LiverpoolChampions League84.4%100%+15.6
ArsenalChampions League15.6%0%−15.6
LiverpoolEuropa League15.6%0%−15.6
Home 56.2%
Draw 22.9%
Away 20.9%
Home 35.6%
Draw 31.3%
Away 33.1%
Home 79.5%
Draw 14.7%
Away 5.8%
Home 15.4%
Draw 19.6%
Away 65.0%
Home 58.5%
Draw 22.0%
Away 19.5%
Home 74.2%
Draw 16.5%
Away 9.3%
Home 68.7%
Draw 18.3%
Away 12.9%
Home 51.6%
Draw 24.6%
Away 23.8%
Home 38.5%
Draw 30.0%
Away 31.5%
Home 23.2%
Draw 24.2%
Away 52.6%