Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Arsenal with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 5 (before the first match) against those on April 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 37.9% | 13.8% | −24.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 71.0% | 85.9% | +14.9 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 28.5% | 14.0% | −14.5 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 56.5% | 67.3% | +10.8 |
| Everton | Europa League | 18.5% | 28.4% | +9.9 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 11.4% | 1.9% | −9.5 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 56.7% | 63.1% | +6.4 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 71.3% | 77.5% | +6.2 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 27.8% | 21.7% | −6.1 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 87.4% | 90.5% | +3.1 |
