Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Chelsea with a 10.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 19 (before the first match) against those on April 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 63.1% | 78.7% | +15.6 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 34.3% | 21.0% | −13.4 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 75.4% | 62.9% | −12.6 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 34.2% | 46.2% | +12.0 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 54.1% | 65.0% | +10.9 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 55.8% | 66.7% | +10.9 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 18.4% | 7.9% | −10.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 34.9% | 24.9% | −10.0 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 95.1% | 86.6% | −8.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 31.9% | 23.8% | −8.1 |
