Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat West Bromwich Albion with a 19.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 27 (before the first match) against those on March 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 51.3% | 32.4% | −18.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 36.0% | 52.4% | +16.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 64.6% | 49.3% | −15.4 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 32.4% | 46.8% | +14.5 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 40.9% | 54.6% | +13.7 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 37.8% | 25.8% | −12.0 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 56.0% | 44.8% | −11.2 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 52.8% | 63.6% | +10.8 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 67.7% | 78.4% | +10.8 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 27.2% | 17.5% | −9.7 |
